Tag: #betting
A probabilistic pub quiz for nerds
A “true or false” quiz where you respond with your confidence level, and the optimal strategy is to report your true belief. 2020-04-26
What is matched betting?
Matched betting exploits differences in odds between betting exchanges to guarantee a profit, by betting on both sides of a proposition. 2019-04-02
What is a prediction market?
Prediction markets allow people to bet on the outcome of future events, with the traded share prices reflecting the market’s probability estimate for those events. 2019-04-01
What is a betting exchange?
Betting exchanges like Betfair allow users to act as bookmakers, offering bets at their own chosen odds. This contrasts with traditional bookmakers who set the odds. 2019-03-31
Probability notation for odds
Different notations for betting odds, including fractional, decimal, and probability. Probability notation is shown to be the most transparent, revealing the bookmaker’s expected positive gain. 2019-03-30
All content copyright James Fisher.